rusjelRussian Journal of Economics and LawRussian Journal of Economics and Law2782-2923"TCE "Taglimat"" Ltd.10.21202/2782-2923.2024.3.559-576rusjel-2569Research ArticleЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ТЕОРИЯTHEORY OF ECONOMICSОт демографического дивиденда к устойчивому развитию КНР в условиях стареющего населения: взгляд китайских экспертовFrom a demographic dividend to sustainable development of PRC with ageing population: view of Chinese expertsВолковаМ. Д.VolkovaM. D.

Марина Дмитриевна Волкова, независимый исследователь

Москва

Marina D. Volkova, independent researcher

Moscow

marina.volkova.0606@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8731-7702КругловаМ. С.KruglovaM. S.

Мария Семеновна Круглова, кандидат исторических наук, старший научный сотрудник

Москва

Web of Science Researcher ID: T-8171-2017; Scopus ID 57207204902

Maria S. Kruglova, Cand. Sci. (History), Senior Researcher

Moscow

Web of Science Researcher ID: T-8171-2017; Scopus ID 57207204902

kruglova_ms@inecon.ruРоссийский государственный гуманитарный университетРоссияRussian State University for the HumanitiesRussian FederationИнститут экономики РАНРоссияInstitute of Economics of the Russian Academy of SciencesRussian Federation202417092024183559576Copyright © Волкова М.Д., Круглова М.С., 20242024Волкова М.Д., Круглова М.С.Volkova M.D., Kruglova M.S.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.rusjel.ru/jour/article/view/2569   Цель

   Цель: выявление основных тенденций изучения демографических проблем КНР китайскими исследователями, определение основных направлений разработок в рамках концепции демографического дивиденда с точки зрения их основных проблем и перспектив дальнейших корректировок в соответствии с постоянно меняющейся государственной демографической политикой и реализации целей устойчивого развития.

   Методы

   Методы: качественные методы (сравнительный анализ, обобщение) систематического обзора эмпирических исследований.

   Результаты

   Результаты: выделены основные тенденции и направления современных китайских демографических исследований, одной из которых является изучение демографических процессов как важного фактора в разработке дальнейшей траектории устойчивого развития Китайской Народной Республики. Делается вывод о том, что китайскиеавторы часто говорят о старении населения как о конкурентном преимуществе Китая, объясняя это тем, что при грамотной экономико-демографической политике «серебряное поколение» станет активным участником экономико-производственной деятельности страны, внося заметный вклад в ВВП.

   Научная новизна

   Научная новизна: в статье рассматриваются работы китайских исследователей, посвященные проблемам демографического дивиденда, с выявлением основных проблем и фокусов.

   Практическая значимость: основные выводы статьи могут быть использованы в научно-педагогической деятельности при изучении экономической и демографической политики Китая. Результаты исследования также могут быть изучены при уточнении демографической политики в РФ.

   Objective

   Objective: to identify the main trends in the studies of the PRC demographic problems by Chinese researchers; to determine the main directions of developments within the concept of demographic dividend in terms of their main problems and prospects for further adjustments in accordance with the ever-changing state demographic policy and the goals of sustainable development.

   Methods

   Methods: qualitative methods (comparative analysis, generalization) of a systematic review of empirical studies.

   Results

   Results: the main trends and directions of modern Chinese demographic research are highlighted, one of which is the study of demographic processes as an important factor in the development of further trajectory of the PRC sustainable development. It is concluded that Chinese authors often write about the aging population as a competitive advantage of China. They explainthat with a competent economic and demographic policy, the “silver generation” will become an active participant in the economic and production activities of the country, making a noticeable contribution to GDP. We also analyze alternative approaches to the concept of demographic dividend, in which the main factor of China’s economic growth is determined notas the quantity but as the quality of labor force.

   Scientific novelty

   Scientific novelty: the article systematizes the works by Chinese researchers in the context of the demographic dividend and identifies their main problems and focuses.

   Practical significance: the main conclusions of the article can be used in scientific and pedagogical activities in the study of economic and demographic policy of China. The research results can also be studied to clarify the demographic policy of the Russian Federation.

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(In Chin.).* Признана нежелательной организацией в РФ с 06.12.2023 / Recognized as an undesirable organization in the Russian Federation as of 06.12.2023.* Признана нежелательной организацией в РФ с 06.12.2023 / Recognized as an undesirable organization in the Russian Federation as of 06.12.2023.

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.