Preview

Russian Journal of Economics and Law

Advanced search

PREDICTION OF POTENTIAL CAPACITY OF THE REGIONAL MARKET OF PAYABLE SERVICES TO THE POPULATION

Abstract

Objective: development and practical implementation of algorithms for predicting the potential capacity of the regional market of payable services to determine the prospects of the sector. Methods: general logical (analysis, synthesis, analogy) and theoretical (classification, formalization, abstraction, generalization, logical modeling) methods. Results: was developed the factor model of correlation between the potential capacity of the payable services market for the population of Samara region and the price index of payable services, as well as the proportion of people whose income is above the subsistence level and the growth index of per capita income. An algorithm is proposed for predicting the potential capacity of the regional market of payable services. Scientific novelty: is the ability of developed approach to forecasting in practice management service companies. Practical value: basing on the developed model, the interval forecast of the market capacity of payable services in Samara region is made; the values are defined of factors affecting the services consumption in Samara region.

About the Authors

E. V. Bashmachnikova
Volga Region State University of Service
Russian Federation


L. A. Abramova
Volga Region State University of Service
Russian Federation


References

1. Шнякина Ю. Р. Региональная сфера услуг: теоретические аспекты и элементы методологии: монография. Самара: Изд-во Самар. гос. аэрокосм. ун-та, 2009. 172 с.

2. Айзинова И.М. Сфера платных услуг населению в контексте социально-экономического развития // Проблемы прогнозирования. 2010. № 1. С. 112-139.

3. Ерохина Л. И. Прогнозирование и планирование в сфере: учеб. пособие. Тольятти: КноРус, 2004. 215 с.

4. Егорова Н.Е., Мудунов А.С. Применение моделей и методов прогнозирования спроса на продукцию сферы услуг. М.: ЦЭМИ РАН, 2000.

5. Башмачникова Е. В. Управление в сфере услуг в условиях нестабильной экономической среды: монография. М.: КНОРУС, 2005. 268 с.

6. Эконометрика: учебник / И.И. Елисеева, С.В. Курышева, Т.В. Костеева и др.; под ред. И.И. Елисеевой. М.: Финансы и статистика, 2005. 576 с.

7. Дудакова И.А., Гладкова Ю.В. Инновационное развитие сферы услуг России как основа построения сервисной экономики // Вестник ДГТУ, 2010. Т. 10. № 6 (49).

8. Bower J.L. Strategy Formulation: A Social and Political Process. Boston: Little, Brown, 2001. C. 152-166.


Review

For citations:


Bashmachnikova E.V., Abramova L.A. PREDICTION OF POTENTIAL CAPACITY OF THE REGIONAL MARKET OF PAYABLE SERVICES TO THE POPULATION. Actual Problems of Economics and Law. 2015;(1):141-147. (In Russ.)

Views: 130


ISSN 2782-2923 (Print)